THE RACE FOR YOUR MAIL

20090928Race

The echoing sound of “You’ve Got Mail” faded this summer as Google’s Gmail powered past AOL and captured the third place position among email servers.

With a growth rate of 46% over the past year some are saying Gmail will overtake Windows Live Mail/HotMail at the number 2 position by early in 2010. Possibly even as early as Feb. 2010.

CURRENT POSITION

Leader Board
Position Name Traffic Movement
Win Yahoo Mail 106 Million Up 22%
Place Windows Live 47 Million Holding
Show Gmail 37 Million Up 46%
4th Place AOL 36.4 Million Dn 19%

No one expects Yahoo and Windows Live Mail to sit and watch as Gmail rushes to capture even more of the market, but I’m betting the biggest block to Gmail growth is going to be the popularity of Windows 7.

FAR TURN

While in theory Windows 7 will arrive on October 22nd without an included email application, Microsoft provides prominent links to Windows Live essentials including Live Mail in the Windows 7 Start menu. Whipping to hold position, Windows Live is an immediate optional update and is also seen on the welcome screen suggestions for New Users.

THE STRETCH

If that weren’t enough, system makers like Dell are preloading Windows Live essentials on most consumer and small business PCs. So while Windows 7 does ship without an email program, Microsoft has made sure you won’t miss the chance to load Windows Live Mail.
I’m expecting the immediate popularity of Windows 7 and the subsequent installation of all things LIVE to satiate our gluttony for Gmail.

PREDICTED FINISH (Mar 1st.)

I’m going against all the handicappers and predicting that while there will be some changes in the numbers, the positions will remain the same.

#1 Yahoo Email

#2 Windows Live/ Hot Mail

#3 Gmail

#4 AOL Mail

This is the race to watch for the next 6 months. AOL Mail should remain at 4th but is fading fast. I’ll revisit this topic again in March to see if I’m correct.

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17 thoughts on “THE RACE FOR YOUR MAIL

  1. From the first time I was introduced to AOL I have been completely satisified with its service even though I have acquired service from Comcast I still use the free AOL and I wouldnt change it ever….

  2. I’ve used hotmail for years and when they stop supporting it in outlook express I stopped making it my primary, then there is my yahoo account but again they won’t let me use an email software like outlook. (Unless I pay)

    Gmail allows me to use most any email software and thus that is why it is now my primary. Now If only I could get everyone to stop using my old hotmail and yahoo accounts.

  3. I have been a MSN user for 5+ years, guess I am like a lot of AOL users, I am used to how to navigate around and like it. I also have a yahoo account that I was planning on changing over to but never did. But funny how some of my AOL friends can not send me emails they are bounced back to them. But their mail will go to Yahoo. I felt it was like an High School rival between AOL and MSN. Seems over the years so many of my friends who used AOL have changed a lot of them,now only two who use it out of abut 20. My son changed from Yahoo to gmail he said because of the junk mail. I have not heard him complain so far with gmai. I will have to go try it out.

  4. I am an absolute fan of Gmail and an absolute opponent of Hotmail, for the reasons that Gmail is much more staight forward, better working and more featured, here everything in Hotmail is an obstacle. Try to recover your password, for example… just try it even when you didn’t loose it… in Hotmail it simply is hell to get it back. Then the Googleapps features… these are fabulous too I even use Gmail for my sites, since they have almost unlimited space and keeps my servers nice and cheap.

  5. I am an absolute fan of Gmail and an absolute opponent of Hotmail, for the reasons that Gmail is much more staight forward, better working and more featured, here everything in Hotmail is an obstacle. Try to recover your password, for example… just try it even when you didn’t loose it… in Hotmail it simply is hell to get it back. Then the Googleapps features… these are fabulous too I even use Gmail for my sites, since they have almost unlimited space and keeps my servers nice and cheap.

  6. I have been a power gmail user for several years and still have Yahoo mail accounts also – while I like Zimbra and love the features of gmail – including gmail for domains – the lack of data privacy and the bottomline result of me not “owning” my own data, because at this point – google does — is becoming more and more unsettling to me – am looking at several different solutions – but it’s hard to get off of gmail – started using a SaaS product called Privacy Harbor ( http://www.privacyharbor.com ) I use the free version and like it very much, they don’t use the public internet to send the files – but it is really hard to stop using gmail once you have started, because of chat and Flock looks like it will be pretty cool. This will become a bigger issue moving forward in time.

  7. I have used Hotmail since 1999. I find it does what I need and will probably not change unless something drastic happens.

  8. My son uses Yahoo for an email client – plus others – and quite often mail I send using Yahoo is returned – too many filters – usually the email is school talk, nothing needing to be filtered – Yahoo in my opinion is the worst client to use – Incredimail has worked for me for nine years – no problem

  9. Funny people will give Yahoo/Microsoft all their information, or Microsoft their information but are afraid of giving the information to Google….

    Google has not been sharing, selling information about clients as long as Microsoft/Yahoo, but some line the service as they like a brand of ketchup, and refuse to use anything else…

    I have only seen one business card with an AOL mail address in the last year. Only a few with Yahoo/Microsoft or Microsoft. But I have seen more than a few with a Gmail address. Most are using a company address… About half of my contact list is a Gmail address…

    Will be interesting to see the mix several years from now…

    JR

  10. For my personal use, I find that Windows Live/Hotmail has served me perfectly for many years. Windows Live will remain my #1 choice.

  11. I didn’t know Yahoo! Mail was #1, but am not surprised. I switched from Mail.com when someone got hold of my domain name and started churning out garbled emails in my name, producing several hundred incoming failed delivery, automated response or angry response messages a day. For well over two years I have enjoyed an excellent service from Yahoo! Being a chronic tinkerer and believer that ‘there is always a better way’, I have tried Googlemail but it offers me no advantages.

  12. I agree with John Kemp 100%. It amazes me how many of my friends seem unconcerned about letting Google store all of their personal and business correspondence. I don’t think Google are evil, but why do they need to do that, and will they always be the only people with access to it?

  13. AT&T is trying to force subscribers to their DSL service to use Yahoo, they made some sort of deal with yahoo. All of a sudden my email client stopped working, AT&T was trying to force yahoo down my throat.. I use Incredimail a stand alone email client.
    after a call and a letter to the FCC an AT&T rep. called and gave me the set up
    that I could continue to use Incredimail.There is no telling how many thousands of customers AT&T forced to use yahoo mail.
    I hate those web mail clients, all the flashing ads, so many distractions, Its hard to concentrate on the task at hand.a stand alone email client is far superior to any web mail..
    no ads no flashing, and plenty of room to concentrate on your email
    ,

  14. I think the reason Gmail is catching up so fast is that BOTH Yahoo and Hotmail are changing too many things around all the time.

    Hotmail was my primary email, that I used before it was microsoft,then they kept switching things around all the time and it became pretty annoying to use. I feel relying on ‘skins’ for customization is the sign of lazy programmers, and let my prefered sort porder (oldest first) be persistant.

    I started using yahoo as my primary mail,mostly because my preferences are persistant, but they’ve started getting ‘goofy’ on things now so I tend to give out my gmail address nearly as often.

    Gmail is a bit annoying too, but at least I can use a client to set my preferences and read mail in as-recieved order. Honestly though, If I had to use the website for mail Gmail wouldn’t even be a contender.

    Ken.

  15. I WON’T use GoogleMail. Why? I use Google for search. If I used Gmail, Google – or some hacker – would, if they wanted, know FAR too much about me. Actually, I’ve nothing much I need or want to hide, but I just don’t like the idea of so much of my life being documented in one place!

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